Predict the future of human systems.
Predictive psychometrics powering the most accurate agent-swarm simulation platform. Instantiates thousands of customized cognitive profiles in a secure sandbox.
Validation
We Test Against Real Outcomes.
We test Tiresias against real outcomes the model never saw during training — not against how consistently an AI agent repeats itself.
Retrospective Validation Design
Ground truth: CDC county vaccine completion and NYT county mask-use data, covering 3,126 US counties. Method: retrospective, held-out county-level evaluation.
Social Network Contagion
We instantiated county-level agent swarms placed inside small-world contact networks. Behaviors spread dynamically via simulated peer-group interactions and individual psychological susceptibilities.
Generalizing Across Domains
By predicting complex human compliance during a global black-swan event, Tiresias demonstrates that personality is learnable at scale and generalizes to predict consumer, political, or strategic decisions.
Model Performance vs. Demographic Baseline Pearson correlation (r)
Legacy models predicting behavior based solely on demographic variables (age, income, education).
Tiresias validation giving equal weight to all 3,126 US counties in retrospective evaluation.
Tiresias validation accounting for lower statistical reliability in small-population counties.
Platform Philosophy
Behavioral data tells you what happened.
Psychometric AI tells you why—and what's next.
Synthetic Focus Groups
Instantiate thousands of calibrated consumer personas on demand. Run comprehensive synthetic focus groups and user surveys in seconds to pre-test messaging, product features, and creative copy.
Decades of Research
Translating validated Big Five (OCEAN) frameworks from academic laboratories into low-latency production pipelines. Personality science, finally engineered for high-scale enterprise workloads.
Calibrated Consumer Panels
Avoid generic LLM biases. By grounding agent swarms in actual Census and psychographic data, we construct calibrated consumer panels that reflect real-world populations with validated accuracy.
The Simulation Economy
“The simulation economy will soon face a reckoning over its accuracy.”
Most modern agent-swarm platforms populate simulation environments with generic LLM personas that fail to replicate real human choices. Tiresias was built to solve this—providing the world's most accurate psychometric agent-swarm simulation platform, grounded in decades of established personality-science research.
Target Sectors
Specialized Simulation Environments
Tiresias engines are tailored for high-stakes decisions where traditional behavioral data is absent or outdated.
Entertainment & Media
De-risk slate greenlights, predict content valuation, and run cognitive audience segment mapping before production begins.
Defense & Intelligence
Analyze regional narratives, simulate population-level behavioral responses, and deploy secure, air-gapped threat profiling.
Marketing & Advertising
Activate psychographic targeting in a post-cookie landscape. Simulate message variant lift before launching capital-intensive campaigns.
Live Simulation Loop
Digital Footprint to Psychometric Swarm
Observe how raw digital telemetry is parsed in real-time, mapping stable personality traits to simulate macro behavior.
The Solitary Intellectual
Characterized by high analytical openness and task-focus, preferring structured individual debate over volatile group dynamics.
TASE Swarm Simulation Engine Live Simulating
Projecting individual archetype weights to predict macro outcomes across a swarm representing N=6,000 validated nodes.
System Architecture
The Tiresias Garden Pipeline
A secure, end-to-end framework translating unstructured digital signatures into actionable, population-level foresight.
Telemetry Ingestion
Secure ingestion pipelines capture unstructured digital telemetry—such as communications, content signals, or behavioral tracks—converting them into standard sequence vectors.
Psychometric Inference
Proprietary psychographic engines translate sequence vectors into stable Big Five (OCEAN) traits, extracting structural personality dimensions from digital exhaust.
Swarm Instantiation
Our core engine populates a custom simulation environment with thousands of cognitive agents, mapped to mirror the target demographic's psychometric distribution.
Behavioral Projection
Agents navigate simulated decision trees to generate aggregate adoption forecasts, narrative propagation rates, and commercial recommendations.
Telemetry Ingestion
Secure ingestion pipelines capture unstructured digital telemetry—such as communications, content signals, or behavioral tracks—converting them into standard sequence vectors.
Psychometric Inference
Proprietary psychographic engines translate sequence vectors into stable Big Five (OCEAN) traits, extracting structural personality dimensions from digital exhaust.
Swarm Instantiation
Our core engine populates a custom simulation environment with thousands of cognitive agents, mapped to mirror the target demographic's psychometric distribution.
Behavioral Projection
Agents navigate simulated decision trees to generate aggregate adoption forecasts, narrative propagation rates, and commercial recommendations.
Core Pillars
Proprietary Architecture, Proven Accuracy
Augur v1
Semantic PsychometricsOur proprietary text-to-personality engine. Built to parse written footprints—scripts, reviews, chats, and transcripts—and extract underlying cognitive dimensions with a Pearson r > 0.50.
T-Score
Standardized Psychographic IndexesA unified coordinate system mapping populations into 1,024-dimensional psychographic vectors. Translates raw Big Five dimensions into actionable taste and compliance indices.
TASE Swarm Engine
Tiresias Audience Simulation EngineOur agentic execution environment. Instantiates thousands of customized cognitive profiles in a secure sandbox, simulating response distributions with extreme macro fidelity.
About Us
Decades of established personality-science research, finally production-ready.
Tiresias was born at the intersection of academic psychometrics and modern data engineering. We believe the future of audience prediction lies in understanding fundamental human personality structures, not invasive digital surveillance.
Oxford Psychometrics
Founded by an Oxford psychometrician — trained in the statistical measurement of human behavior, personality theory, and latent trait modeling. The science of quantifying what drives people.
Enterprise Data, F500 Scale
5+ years leading AI and data transformation for Fortune 500 companies. Saw firsthand how the industry's hunger for user data creates fragile, privacy-hostile systems — and how much better the models could be.
The Insight
What if we didn't need more data — but better models of people? Applied decades of academic psychometric research to build a prediction engine that starts with who you are, not what you've clicked.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
Understand how Tiresias applies psychographic agent-swarm models and demographic calibration to deliver validated audience simulations.
Get in Touch
Start a conversation
Whether you're evaluating a content acquisition, planning a portfolio strategy, or preparing a campaign launch — we'd welcome the conversation.